Analyzing data on the 37,347 students of the 2013 US DP cohort (50% full-IB), a recent report found that they were much more likely to enroll in college than the average American student. While the national average stands at 66%, over 82% of US IB students enrolled in a postsecondary institution. What is more, 74.7% attended a 4-year institution, while only 40% did in the general population, and most of them (64.2%) joined a “more selective” one.
Likewise, while the general 4-year graduation rate only stands at 41.1%, it reached 61.6% for IB students. The “IB effect” was significant even for non-full IB students (55.8%), but larger for full-IB students (66.5%), especially when they received the diploma (74.4%). For non-full IB students, the number of IB courses they took was a strong predictor of both outcomes, each additional IB course taken increasing their odds of attending and graduating college by 32% and 12% respectively. For full-DP students, each additional point earned on the final exam increased their odds of attending and graduating college by 5% and 13% respectively. Interestingly, the points students can earn from TOK and the Extended Essay were particularly effective at identifying students who were likely to succeed in college, each additional point increasing a student’s odds of graduating within 4 years by 46%. Importantly, this "IB effect" held even after controlling for relevant demographic characteristics. It should also be noted that 93% of the IB sample attended public schools. Reference: Pilchen, Caspary, Woodworth, “Postsecondary Outcomes of International Baccalaureate Diploma Programme Graduates in the United States” (2020)
2 Comments
scottie
6/7/2020 02:44:25 pm
Obvious simple explanation--sampling bias.Who takes the IB program in school systems where admission to it is selective?
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Jeremie Rostan
10/29/2021 07:01:01 am
IB schools in the US are not necessarily selective, especially when it comes to "certificate" candidates who take specific IB classes without enrolling in the full diploma program. Since the "IB effect" increases with the number of IB classes taken, and holds when comparing IB students to other students attending 4-year institutions (who would thus likely have been invited / allowed to take IB classes if their school offered it), the sampling bias explanation is highly unlikely. Importantly, relevant demographic factors were controlled for in these calculations.
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